YouGov put One Nation on 28 percent in mid-June. That's not a rounding error. That's a party that was a minor thirteen months earlier, now level with the government in that sample. YouGov, for Sky News, surveyed 1,492 voters on 9–16 June 2026 and gave One Nation 28 percent of the primary vote, Labor 26 percent, the Coalition 21, the Greens 13. Morgan, 8–14 June, 1,583 electors, had One Nation at 29.5 percent. DemosAU, 16–18 June, had Hanson at 28 percent in a preferred-PM contest.

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